In a supreme act of short-sightedness, Mordor greatly underestimated Russian power. It thought its sanctions would weaken Russia, but one result is that Russia has become even closer with China. It underestimated the degree to which the Russian public is behind Putin and that overthrowing him is a pipe-dream. Lastly, it failed miserably to anticipate the depth of Russia’s military forces. Right now Russia is in the catbird’s seat – and this article explores what its next moves will be!